Democrat Mikie Sherrill and Republican Jack Ciattarelli are in a statistical dead heat in the race to become the next governor of New Jersey, according to an Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill poll released this morning.
The poll has Sherrill leading Ciattarelli, 49%-48%, among likely voters in the race to succeed Democratic Gov. Phil Murphy.
“Heading into Election Day, the gender divide in the gubernatorial election has solidified: men break for Ciattarelli by 16 points, while women break for Sherrill by 18 points,” said Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling. “Since last month, Ciattarelli’s lead among men increased by four points, and Sherrill’s lead among women grew by eight points.”
Both candidates have split favorables: Sherrill’s favorables are at 47%-47%, while Ciattarelli is at 48%-48%.
President Donald Trump, an omnipresent figure in this year’s gubernatorial race, has job approvals of 45%-53% in today’s poll.
The poll puts Murphy underwater, with approvals of 34%-50%.
According to the pollster, when the two percent of undecided voters are allocated, the race goes to 50%-48% with Sherrill ahead.
A poll released by the same pollster on September 25 had Sherrill and Ciattarelli tied at 43%-43%.
For those who care about the other side of the river: the Emerson Poll shows Zohran Mamdani with a 25-point lead, 50%-25%, over Andrew Cuomo, wth Curtis Sliwa at 21%.
The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill poll was conducted between October 25-28 with a sample size of 1,000 and a margin of error of +/- 3%. The sample includes 42.6% Democrats, 27.5% Republicans, and 29.9% independents. Click HERE to view crosstabs.
