Washington Capitals vs. Anaheim Ducks – Prop Bets (10:00 PM, EST)
Washington Capitals Team Total Over 3 (-145) at BetMGM Sportsbook
After residing near the top of the board in most offensive metrics last year, the Washington Capitals have been able to carry over their success into this season as the Stanley Cup contenders rank top-5 in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in 5-on-5 Play. Even with Alexander Ovechkin showing clear signs of regression, the Capitals have been able to mask his loss of production with their versatility as six players average more than 0.25 Expected Goals per game.
Heading into Friday night, expect the Capitals to consistently pressure the Anaheim Ducks net as they face off against a back line who ranks 29th in Expected Goals Against in All Situations with an average of 3.63 Expected Goals Against per game. Even with Lukas Dostal playing at a very high level, the Capitals versatility will open up wider shooting lanes in front of their net which will help scramble his coverage. Should the Capitals team total climb up to 3.5, then reduce the size of your wager.
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Tom Wilson Anytime Goal Scorer (+195) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Even though Tom Wilson is averaging just 2.14 Shots on Goal per game, the Capitals forward has been able to maximize on the efficiency of his shot attempts as he is also averaging 0.48 Expected Goals. With the Ducks back line struggling to stay in front of the puck as their low mark in Expected Goals Against indicates, Wilson will be able to generate a higher volume of shot attempts which increases his chances of scoring.
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San Jose Sharks vs. Dallas Stars – Prop Bets (8:00 PM, EST)
San Jose Sharks Team Total Under 2.5 (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Over the past few weeks of play, the San Jose Sharks have failed to play at a competitive level as they are currently 22nd in the overall standings with a 13-12-3 record. Their offense has played a major role in their struggles this year as their front five ranks well below league average in Expected Goals For in All Situations and in Expected Goals For From High Danger Shots.
In a matchup against Dallas, the Sharks struggles on offense will be on full display as they face off against a Stars back line who ranks top-10 in Expected Goals Against in 5-on-5 Play. Especially with Jake Oettinger giving them the production they need in net to help limit the amount of variance in their contests as the Stars goalie is averaging 2.60 Goals Against per game and a .906 Save Percentage. For some more exposure, escalator bet the Sharks team total by placing smaller wagers on their alternate unders.
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Utah Mammoth vs. Vancouver Canucks – Prop Bets (9:00 PM, EST)
Clayton Keller Anytime Goal Scorer (+175) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Since the start of the regular season, Clayton Keller has excelled at generating high quality Shots on Goal as the Utah Mammoth forward is averaging 0.38 Expected Goals per game. With the Vancouver Canucks back line ranking 31st in Expected Goals Against From High Danger Shots, Keller will be able to continue to create high quality scoring opportunities by exploiting their gaps in coverage in front of their crease.
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